If you are new to Fantasy Rugby Geek, then welcome to our latest instalment of our weekly pre-match updates for the Guinness 2023 Six Nations. This is where we analyse the weekend’s lineups, crunch the stats and see what the bookies are thinking to help you optimise your lineups for peak performance this weekend! By the time you finish this article you should have all the insight you need to score big fantasy points this weekend.
What will go down…
Here are the bookies handicaps via Paddy Power…
- France to beat Wales by 21 points
- Ireland to beat England by 14 points
- Scotland to beat Italy by 14 points
What are your predictions? Make sure you join the FRG league on FANZO (download Fanzo from the Apple App Store and the Google Play Store). Make your picks and win pints, simply download the App and join our league with the code FANTASY.
Top 10 most likely to score (Odds via Paddy Power)
- 1= – Duhan Van Der Merwe (Scotland) – Anytime tryscorer odds: 1.62
- 1= – Damian Penaud (France) – Anytime tryscorer odds: 1.62
- 3= – Kyle Steyn (Scotland) – Anytime tryscorer odds: 1.8
- 3= – Huw Jones (Scotland) – Anytime tryscorer odds: 1.8
- 5= – James Lowe (Ireland) – Anytime tryscorer odds: 1.83
- 5= – Ethan Dumortier (France) – Anytime tryscorer odds: 1.83
- 7= – Mack Hansen (Ireland) – Anytime tryscorer odds: 2.1
- 7= – Antoine Dupont (France) – Anytime tryscorer odds: 2.1
- 7= – George Turner (Scotland) – Anytime tryscorer odds: 2.1
- 7= – Dan Sheehan (Ireland) – Anytime tryscorer odds: 2.1
Expected to go well
*Players who are starting favourably out of position (i.e. Hooker in back row, Centre on wing, etc.)
HOOKERS
- Dan Sheehan (Irealnd)
- George Turner (Scotland)
PROPS
- Pierre Schoeman (Scotland)
- Andrew Porter (Ireland)
- Danilo Fischetti (Italy)
LOCKS
- Ryan Baird (Ireland)
- Thibaud Flament (France)
- Lorenzo Cannone (Italy)*
BACK ROW
- Charles Ollivon (France)
- Gregory Alldritt (France)
- Josh Van Der Flier (Ireland)
- Jack Dempsey (Scotland)
SCRUM-HALF
- Antoine Dupont (France)
- Ben White (Scotland)
FLY HALF
- Johnny Sexton (Ireland)
- Tommaso Allan (Italy)*
CENTRES
- Ethan Dumortier (France)*
- Ollie Smith (Scotland)*
- Huw Jones (Scotland)
BACK 3
- Duhan Van Der Merwe (Scotland) – Official Game and SuperBru Captain Pick
- James Lowe (Ireland)
- Damian Penaud (France)
- Thomas Ramos (France)
Supersub Strategy
For those playing the Official Game, we look at potential options for the SuperSub role.
Ultimately SuperSub is a bit of a lottery. You could luck out if one of the starting XV needs to go off in the early stages of the game, but likewise you could be at the mercy of a coach who decides to leave his backs on the bench for the entire 80 minutes, so you have to play the percentages and consider the risks.
As covered in detail in a previous post, for me the key areas to consider in a SuperSub are…
- Will they come on, and will they play a significant period of time
- How the team has used their bench in previous games
- The split of subs on the bench
- How likely the team are to win
With this in mind, I will be looking to the following candidates to give the SuperSub selection to in Round 5…
- Ewan Ashman – H – Scotland
- Peato Mauvaka – H – France
- Jack Conan – BR – Ireland
- Matt Fagerson – BR – Scotland
- Melvyn Jaminet – B3 – France
Come and join the FRG leagues for the 2023 Six Nations!
It seems that there are multiple FRG 6N leagues set up (I think because the leagues are usually capped at 100 players). The good folks at @SixNationsRugby have removed the cap on the main league, so please join this one if you haven’t already -> click here to join for the Official Six Nations game. Also, if you are playing SuperBru click here to join the FRG league.
In addition, join the FRG Pick 4 league here.
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If you want some more sources to help you finalise your decisions, go to our resources page where you’ll find all the Six Nations fantasy games, all the stats sources, injury news, team news, fantasy relevant rugby betting odds and tons of other useful information.
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